French weekly weather forecast November 9 - 13: warmer days but rain returns

Rainfall will return to most of France this week as a low-pressure weather system from the Azores influences the country. 

At the same time temperatures will increase at the start of the week, reaching a high point on Wednesday (November 11) before dropping.

National average temperatures may reach 5C above those typical for the season and will remain above average for November, even following the drop at the end of the week. 

Monday November 9 

The week begins with grey skies over much of France, and fog north of the Seine that may linger for much of the morning. 

The only real chance of sunshine is in the Pyrénées or along the Belgian border, but even here the sun will be interspersed with thick clouds.

Rain will begin moving in from west and south in the afternoon, and by evening cover much of the country.

This rainfall will come in the form of persistent drizzle rather than heavy downpours.

Temperatures will be chilliest north of the Seine and in the east, and may not reach above 10C in these areas. 

Between the Seine and Loire, highs of 13C are more typical for the season, and in the south, highs of 19C are possible along the coast and in the south-west, potentially reaching above 20C in Toulouse. 

Tuesday November 10 

Rain will continue to fall across the northern half of the country – lasting much of the day – but morning conditions in the south will be sunny and dry, except for in the Rhône Valley and along the Riviera.

By the afternoon, however, rain will return to the south once more, with possible stormy conditions in the south-west around Bordeaux.

Temperatures will rise everywhere but along the Belgian border, with highs of up to 14C in Normandy, 15C in Brittany, 17C in the north of France, and 20C in the south. The Pyrénées and Toulouse may see temperatures reach 22C, around 8C than average for the season in the city. 

Wednesday November 11 

Rain will persist across northern areas and particularly Normandy and Hauts-de-France, with coastal Brittany also seeing rain. 

Drizzle is also expected in the east, as well as the Alps and the south-east. 

Elsewhere, skies will flit between sunshine and clouds, but should remain dry. Temperatures will remain similar to Tuesday, but could increase by 1C to 2C in the north. 

This will see temperatures reach their high point of the week, with a forecast national average temperature of 14.5C. 

This is well above the average for the season (around 9.7C), and factors in both day- and night-time conditions.

Thursday November 12 

Conditions shift on Thursday, with the north remaining mostly dry and rain moving southwards to fall along a central belt (roughly La Rochelle to the Swiss border). 

A Mediterranean storm is expected to move northwards and hit south-east France, bringing heavy rain to the Riviera and possibly stormy conditions.

Official weather alerts may be raised, so residents in the south-east should keep up to date with reports across the week. 

Temperatures will fall in the north as cool winds arrive from the English Channel. In the south, temperatures will remain above average but cooler than on Wednesday, and highs of 20C are unlikely. 

Friday November 13 

France should be spared any weather mishaps on Friday the 13th. 

A high-pressure system moving in from the British Isles should clear away clouds in the north, leading to calm and sunny skies, although it will remain chilly with temperatures below 10C in the northern half of the country. 

Morning rainfall across the south will quickly be limited to only a few pockets, mostly in the Pyrénées and Alps and the south-east. Snowfall is expected at higher altitudes. 

Temperatures in the south will drop, with highs of around 13C, and only in the Pyrénées foothills and Mediterranean coastline are temperatures set to rise to above 15C. 

Early forecasts for the weekend see the high-pressure system dominate on Saturday, bringing sunny skies and calm weather with chilly conditions, before a return to rain in the west on Sunday.